Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.009895 0.011181 0.012593 0.014264 0.016191 0.018350 0.020960
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.007791 0.009502 0.011552 0.014207 0.017577 0.021746 0.027340
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.006401 0.008194 0.010465 0.013584 0.017803 0.023383 0.031432
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.005621 0.007484 0.009952 0.013511 0.018589 0.025696 0.036610
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.005268 0.007264 0.010021 0.014176 0.020403 0.029593 0.044566
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.004641 0.006579 0.009344 0.013662 0.020396 0.030773 0.048532
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.004164 0.006053 0.008826 0.013300 0.020536 0.032144 0.052943
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003856 0.005739 0.008583 0.013316 0.021248 0.034484 0.059305
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003722 0.005674 0.008708 0.013919 0.022976 0.038722 0.069701
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003453 0.005370 0.008419 0.013799 0.023442 0.040802 0.076392
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003262 0.005172 0.008282 0.013915 0.024327 0.043736 0.085223
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.003034 0.004894 0.007983 0.013710 0.024588 0.045509 0.091947
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002902 0.004772 0.007953 0.014009 0.025883 0.049572 0.104553
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002727 0.004564 0.007755 0.013982 0.026550 0.052491 0.115270
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002484 0.004216 0.007276 0.013368 0.025956 0.052669 0.119579
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002341 0.004037 0.007088 0.013297 0.026470 0.055313 0.130439
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002306 0.004049 0.007255 0.013949 0.028605 0.061910 0.152850
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002130 0.003785 0.006876 0.013445 0.028133 0.062377 0.158984
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001987 0.003575 0.006583 0.013089 0.027955 0.063524 0.167276
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001898 0.003460 0.006469 0.013106 0.028636 0.066894 0.182791
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001876 0.003474 0.006613 0.013697 0.030757 0.074280 0.212323
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001783 0.003342 0.006447 0.013579 0.031132 0.077128 0.228275
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.001719 0.003263 0.006385 0.013694 0.032104 0.081762 0.251367